Oscar Futures

Keeping pace with Hollywoods perpetual awards horserace.

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Gold Rush

That ends this weekend, when Sean Bakers Palme dOr winnerAnoraopens in New York and Los Angeles.

What makes us so sure this is the year the Academy embraces Sean Baker?

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2.

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How many minutes will it take for out-of-context screenshots fromEmilia Perezto start going viral on social media?

Similarly, who will be most offended byConclave… CanThe Brutalistsurvive on a preferential ballot?

Can Brady Corbets film follow the same path asOppenheimerwithout the benefit of a $900 million gross?

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Can A24 bring backSing Sing?

Will the Brits powerBlitz?

(Among the greatest war films ever made, saystheTelegraph.)

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CanDune: Part Twoequal its predecessors trophy count?

As the only big blockbuster in the 2022 Oscar race,Duneran away with almost every single craft trophy.

This year will bring more competition fromGladiator II,Wicked,Blitz, and others.

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Does Scott Feinberg know something aboutSeptember 5that we dont?

CanNickel Boyskeep the art-house streak going?

The Academys taste can be thermostatic.

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Last Marchs Oscars ended with challenging titles likeThe Zone of InterestandThe Boy and the Heronwinning gold.

Will history repeat withGladiator II?

Can Sir Ridley take advantage of a weakened field a IInd time?

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It happens to lots of movies!

.Current Predix

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Id be surprised if Gerwigs fellow Academy members didnt welcome Baker into their own club come January.

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Which is an issue if Stan hopes to follow in the footsteps ofthe late, great Hannibal Lecter.

(Theyre not sending their best.)

It will be fascinating to see which way this race goes.

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In the words ofMark Harris, Shes going to have a long season.

Hes giving a more subtle, reactive performance than Eydelshteyn, but perhaps one thats easier to connect with.

Having starred in the Finnish submissionCompartment No.

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6a few years back, Borisov may also benefit from being more familiar to voters.

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