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The season premiere delivered on that promise with a captivating mix of charming personalities and wacky characters.

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Here are my power rankings of those 16 players, organized from most likely to least likely to win.

Frannie

Sparks were flying on the Soka beach, and Im not talking about the fire Heidi made.

Frannie and her tribemate Matt appeared to hit it off immediately, like two nerdy magnets coming together.

Probst teased a showmance in the preseason press, and it seems Frannie and Matt (Fratt?

are the couple in question.

They seem too smart for that, Frannie especially.

She just seemed to have a great, personable vibe, which I think will take her far.

Matt

And if Im putting Frannie first, I might as well rank Matt second.

Again, I think this potential showmance with Frannie could make them a powerful duo.

This already is acting like quite a messy, paranoid cast.

So a pair that can develop trust and loyalty early on will probably fare well amid the chaos.

Carson

I guess Ive got a real nerdy superfan vibe going on with these top picks.

So, yeah, strap a rocket to this NASA engineering student.

That tells me his tribe likes and trusts him.

And its easy to see why.

So unless his injury grows worse, I dont see why he couldnt win this whole thing.

Yam Yam

This man was made for television.

Just a bright, bursting bundle of good vibes.

Carolyn is loud and energetic, but she also shows a keen awareness.

She recognized she was already on the outside of conversations.

There is some craftiness up Carolyns sleeve, and I cant wait to see her pull it out.

There isnt much to go on regarding the tribe dynamics at the moment other than Frannie and Matts bond.

But Heidi gained favor with her quick fire-making skills and has that go-getter attitude that serves people well inSurvivor.

Claire

Again, not a great deal to go on.

That meant little airtime for players like Claire.

So Im sticking him here in the middle of the pack and hoping for the best.

Danny

Same as above.

Does that mean hell end up becoming the easy boot option?Survivordoes enjoy its ironic foreshadowing.

But there is nothing substantial to say either way.

Brandon

It was almost a short stay in Fiji for the former football player.

Brandons last-second decision to play his (not so) hidden immunity idol ended up saving his butt.

But the Ratu tribe is messy as all hell already, so who knows how things will shake out.

Jaime

Ah, good olSurvivorparanoia.

Lauren

It feels bad ranking Lauren at the bottom because she showed some great cunning in the premiere.

Yet it could all come undone due to that challenge-bench chat between Matthew and Claire.