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(Oppenheimerhas the edge in crafts, but dont overlookBarbies multiple songs.)
Lets say thats two and a half spots in the Best Picture lineup accounted for, or one-quarter.
Who will fill the rest?
Not since 2018 have we had a Best Picture lineup with no foreign-language films in the mix.
(Seeing how theStar Is Borncampaign went, maybe thats a good thing.)
The two big crowd-pleasers I saw at TIFF both have a shot.
Still, nomination morning is a long way off.
A year ago, who would have seenAll Quiet on the Western Frontgetting in?
With ten spots to fill, the safest bet is that there will be at least one surprise.
Speaking of makeup, CoopersMaestronosehas already weatheredan entire backlash cycle.
camp, andRustinsColman Domingo, whose Obama-produced biopic feels tailor-made to get him a nomination.
After those seven, the field gets fuzzy.
PerhapsJoaquin Phoenixs late charge withNapoleonwill turn out more Austerlitz than Waterloo.
Finally, couldFreuds Last Sessionremind us all never to underestimateAnthony Hopkinsin a movie based on a play?
Her foremost competition appears to beEmma Stone, whos earning career-best raves for hershamelessly sexualturn inPoor Things.
Dont forget the shamelesslyasexual Barbie,Margot Robbie, either.
(Shes expected to go lead in the former and supporting in the latter.)
Possible late-season entrants includeAunjanue Ellis-TaylorofOriginandJodie ComerofThe Bikeriders.
When will Diana DeGarmo get her Oscar breakout?
Best Supporting Actor
The Supporting Actor field often takes a little while to gel.
Each of the putative Best Picture contenders boasts a showy supporting turn, and places are going fast.
Not to be outdone,Poor Thingsboasts two candidates:Mark Ruffalos unctuous cad andWillem Dafoes so-mad-hes-sane scientist.
I could also see A24 make a play for low-key character actorJohn MagaroofPast Lives.
In the event thatOppenheimersweeps the nominations, might we seeMatt Damonsneak in there alongside Downey Jr.?
Or how aboutTom HardyofThe Bikeriders,Sterling K. BrownofAmerican Fiction, orBen AffleckforAir?
I could see big things forJodie Fosteras a long-suffering coach inNyad.
History saysThe Color Purplecould be big here, too.
The good thing about an open race is theres room for a potpourri of contenders.
Based on the trailer, Vanessa Kirbys Josephine will get plenty to do inNapoleon.
IfAiris going to contend, itll likely be forViola Daviss steely turn as Michael Jordans mother.
On the subject of moms,BarbiesAmerica Ferrerahas the mother of all Oscar clips.
And with a weaker field, this could be the place whereZone of InterestsSandra Hullerpops up.
They hardly know er yet.
