Oscar Futures
Keeping pace with Hollywoods perpetual awards horserace.
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A new Oscar combatant has stepped into the Colosseum.
Theres the review embargo, usually set a few days to a few weeks in the future.
Then theres the social-media embargo, which is often up as soon as the movies over.
But I was wrong.
Despite users fleeing the platform, the post-screening hype tweet lives on.
These tweets are simply too important to the awards-season ecosystem to ever die.
As a creature of the digital age, the post-screening hype tweet is a cousin of the Letterboxd review.
However, their tone and function could not be more different.
The guiding principle of a Letterboxd review is to seem as pithy and off-the-cuff as possible.
One simply announces that one has seen the movie, and it is good.
The whole point of the exercise is to build buzz, but buzz notoriously features a low signal-to-noise ratio.
Underneath the hype, it can be hard to understand what anyones actually saying.
But Im here to help.
:The film cost over $100 million.A total spectacle!
However, one major contenders status still remained unknown:The Substance.
Comedies/Musicals erroneously running as Dramas:Conclave,Hard Truths.
Dramas erroneously running as Comedies/Musicals:A Different Man,Challengers.
Movies I havent seen so I dont have an opinion on:Nightbitch.
Could she have had a punchers chance at the win in Drama?
On the guys side, things have returned to their natural order, with Drama being far more competitive.
But its not just about one night in January.
Oscar Futures: DoesConclaveHave Mass Appeal?
.Current Predix
.
(But enough about the Supreme Court!)
Thats in the same neighborhood asMoonlightandLady Bird, though far short of whatParasiteandLa La Landput up.
Step one complete inAnoras path to becoming a top-tier contender, which boosts Madisons candidacy in turn.
How will the Oscars handle the generational shift from millennial careerism to Gen-Z self-care?
(Lest you forget, hes only been nominated once, forThe Lovely Bones.)
Still, hes kind of just doing his Stanley Tucci thing.
Hes already won twice, but if anyone deserves to dance at the Three Trophy Club, its Denzel.
Rack up those frequent-flier miles!