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The members of the modern Academy love a Best Picture nominee.
Can that trend co-exist with a Best Picture frontrunner that seems primed to sweep?
But after Sundays BAFTAs, Im starting to think it might be possible this season.
Lets start with the locks.
The screenplay categories are where BAFTA made things interesting.
But Actress will be pivotal.
Its Lily Gladstone or bust forKillers of the Flower Moon, so well need to hand Gladstone that trophy.
Poor Thingsalso won the actual makeup trophy at BAFTA.
Thats nine of our Best Picture nominees rewarded without anything too crazy happening.
None of the above would stand in the way ofOppenheimerhaving a huge night.
SAG: Our Last Chance for anOp-Set?
Saturday nights SAG Awards should shed a lot of light on the lead-acting races in particular.
(The supporting races are already done and dusted.)
Because of this, Ive long pegged SAG Ensemble as the most likely place forOppenheimerto be upset.
DGA and BAFTA were always going to love a film so director-y, and so British-y.
SAG can be weird.
Its members like well-rounded ensembles where everyone gets a chance to cook.
They like characters who all interact with each other onscreen.
With that in mind, heres a rundown of the likelihood of each nominated cast pulling out the win.
3.BarbieThere was a time when I thoughtBarbiewasOppenheimers biggest challenger at SAG.
I havent changed my mind in regard toBarbie, exactly.
But two things give me pause.
And two, another SAG nominee looks like it’s surging at exactly the right time.
Add in a better-than-expected showing at the Oscar nominations, and things are looking up for the literary satire.
I could see this happening!
1.OppenheimerStill, whileOppenheimerdoesnt have this in the bag, there are valid reasons to expect the expected Saturday night.
Its got a highly pedigreed cast of former Oscar winners and nominees.
And finally,Oppenheimerhasnt lost any of the big prizes this season, so why should it start now?
Has R.E.Ms Michael Stipe SeenMaestro?
I didnt necessarily agree with this, but I understood it.
I suspect Cooper knows this, because he took pains to include that bit of the R.E.M.
song in his film.
NowGold Rushcanexclusivelyreport that he has!
Stipes publicist confirmed the R.E.M.
frontman had indeed watched the film, though she declined to provide his official review.
Anyone want to try it on a rainy Sunday, and tell us how it goes?
