Save this article to read it later.
Find this story in your accountsSaved for Latersection.
On Sunday night, two Oscar narratives will come into conflict.
The first says thatEverything Everywhere All at Onceis likely to win and win big.
All of them more or less swept on Oscar night.
The other narrative says that, front-runner schmontrunner, Oscar voters love to share the wealth.
In the post-2009 era of the preferential ballot, Best Picture winners tend to top out around four wins.
(The Hurt Lockerholds the record with six.)
One one hand, we have unstoppable hot-dog fingers.
In the other, we have an immovable rock with googly eyes.
Which narrative will emerge triumphant on Sunday?
Here are my final predictions in all 23 Oscar categories.
As didCODA, our previous example of a streaming film that broke out late in the season.
Both men took home multiple Oscars in the 90s and now apparently never will again.
So why hasnt he dominated the season like everyone expected?
Probably because, for many voters,The Whalewas all too resistible.
(That the film couldnt crack a wafer-thin Adapted Screenplay category is telling.)
Bassett won the Globe, Condon the BAFTA, and Curtis SAG.
In that case, my gut tells me that the desire to rewardBansheessomewhere will tilt it toCondon.
Theyve yet to go head-to-head this season, asWomen Talkingwasnt nominated at BAFTA andAll Quietwas ineligible at WGA.
But its a moot point, anyway.
But the victor hasnt overlapped with Best Picture sinceArgo.
(Weirdly, this winner is much more likely to overlap with Best Sounds.)
A track from Justin Hurwitzs scoresoundtracks the latest Oscars ad.
Best Costume Design
BabylonBlack Panther: Wakanda ForeverElvisEverything Everywhere All at OnceMrs.
Thus, my choice of Austin Butler compels me to go withElvishere.
As for Tom Hankss Colonel Tom Parker … well, theres a reason this is theSuicide SquadMemorial Oscar.
Anyway, the live-action short category has a ringer this year in Alice Rohrwacher, director ofLe Pupile.
But look out forAn Irish Goodbye, the only English-language nominee, which is just cloying enough to win.
A lot of critics absolutely hated it, but I thought it was fine.
(Plus, it was executive-produced by Malala.)
More From This Series
Tags:
