Save this article to read it later.
Find this story in your accountsSaved for Latersection.
Then theres Supporting Actress, where I think four of the nominees have compelling arguments for the win.
WhenThe Fabelmans Michelle Williamsdecided to run in lead, she threw this race into chaos.
Three different women have won major precursors, and the fourth could be the nights most interesting sleeper pick.
With Oscar voting underway, which of them will wind up with a trophy?
Read on for a breakdown of the contenders in the years most up-in-the-air Oscar race.
The season so far:Wins at the Golden Globes and Critics Choice Awards, plusone instant-classic meme.
Still, well-regarded veterans can often capitalize on decades of goodwill once their name appears on the Oscar ballot.
Will that be enough forAngela Bassett to do the thing?
The season so far:A win at SAG.
The season so far:A win at BAFTA.
In her favor:Bansheesearned nine nominations, so the Academy clearly admired Martin McDonaghs black comedy.
However, there arent many easy ways to hand it a trophy.
By my estimation, the film is running third or fourth in most of its categories.
If voters want to awardEEAAOa Picture-Director-Screenplay sweep, then Supporting Actress becomes the likeliest place to giveBansheesits due.
Working against her:Condon is in a weird place, career-wise, for Oscar.
And this wouldnt be the first time an Irishman went home empty-handed at the Oscars.
The season so far:A handful of supporting-actress and breakthrough-performance awards from critics groups.
More than any other, its her performance that encapsulates the Daniels blend of cartoonish whimsy and straight-ahead emotion.
A vote for Curtis is a vote for Curtis, but a vote for Hsu is a vote forEEAAO.
Even with the vote-splitting concerns, shes an intriguing dark horse.
